Saturday, July 2, 2016

Rao, Rao and Rajan

Rao, Rao and Rajan.


Our collective obsession with the unknown is sometimes funny, sometimes difficult to comprehend, but always interesting!

Let us start with science – perhaps the best known equation amongst people with any idea of science is E=mC squared.  Probe further into the understanding of the same and, you would almost always draw a blank.

The proponent of the formula, Albert Einstein, was and is, possibly the only rock star scientist the world has seen.




He was feted, felicitated, followed everywhere he went. And the people who did that, possibly never understood why they were worshipping him!

Was it his unique hairstyle? Was it his unsolicited views of the world or was it the fact that he was a Jew who had escaped the wrath of Nazi Germany, we will never know. The fact that he became an American Citizen, the greatest marketing organization of the world, could have been one reason too.

As a scientist, was his contribution the most important one for mankind? No!

Scientists like Rontgen – the man who discovered/invented X-Ray, Alexander Fleming – Penicillin and Louis Pasteur- vaccination/pasteurization did far more for the society than Einstein did.




Millions of lives have been saved over almost a century because of these scientists, but to large swathes of society, these scientists were not great.

Monetary Policy, like the theory of relativity, is hardly understood. But, because it is so poorly understood, the people who deal with it, bring in a sense of awe.

Turn the clock back to 2013, a period when India was going through an identity crisis. After 10 years at the helm, the UPA government was facing the pressure of incumbency. It also did not help that, thanks to many corruption allegations, the government was facing a crisis of credibility.

Petrol, Onions and the Dollar were in a race to reach the Rs 100 mark. 

In came Dr. Rajan, the brooding intellectual with impeccable credentials, as the RBI Governor. 

He was the voice of sanity, the glimmer of hope in an otherwise despondent nation. (the reality is that the tears in the population’s eyes are directly proportional to the Onion 
prices).



Suddenly, the government had a new face of credibility, Dr. Rajan.

In his quest to bring down inflation, stop the dollar from spiraling, Dr. Rajan, took quite a few steps, many of them quite effective and successful.

It also helped the country that the crude prices crashed to historic lows and that there was a new party at the helm of affairs in India.

 And, India’s economy started looking more and more robust.

Because the monetary policy is too esoteric for all of us, we ascribed the entire progress to one man Dr Rajan, making him a rock star whose exit has, in our minds created a vacuum of caliber at the top.

Contrast this with two Raos.

Mr. Duvvuri Subba Rao was Dr. Rajan’s predecessor as the Governor. When he came in, in 2008, the world had been hit by the biggest Financial crisis ever seen.

The stock markets across the world melted, layoffs/ pinkslips became the norm across industries. Uncertainty replaced confidence.

But, India remained relatively untouched. While its economy did slow down, there was no crash like the ones seen in Brazil, Russia or in parts of Europe.

The rebound was slow but sure. The man at the helm of the RBI would definitely have done a stellar job, right?




Today, Mr. Subba Rao is living a relatively unknown life in Singapore.  His role in the rebound would be a mere footnote in Indian economic history.

Turn the clock back 25 years.




Mr. PV Narasimha Rao became the Prime Minister of India in 1991.

This was the period when India was still recovering from the immensely tragic assassination of Mr. Rajeev Gandhi. Our Balance of payments was at its vulnerable worst, our foreign exchange reserves were not even enough to cover a few weeks of imports, doing business was considered a sin, and innovation was looked down upon.

And, then Mr. Rao unleashed reforms that have been able to transform India into an economic power.

Today, his mortal remains rest in an obscure, unknown place in Hyderabad. And, his contribution both to his party and to the nation, largely erased from collective memory.

A question – are we letting media decide who is great and who is not? Are we getting swayed by marketing glitz in the style versus substance debate?

Can we start looking at things more objectively, and assimilate the good that the Roentgen’, Flemings and the Pasteur’ have done?

While we fete, felicitate and celebrate the Rajans, can we not at least remember the Raos?