Sunday, June 7, 2020

India's long lockdown(Fasting) - its impact


They say hindsight is a 20/20 vision. In the sense, in hindsight, the problems of the past are blurred and one can see very clearly and dispassionately dissect what should have been done. Interestingly, we are in 2020 where we are facing the wrath of the virus and there is a plethora of hindsight assessing every action of every government.

So, one can dismiss my blog as being smart after the event.

But, this is an analogy. A comparison of the human body and the country – both of which are living organisms.

Japanese cell biologist Yoshinori Ohsumi won the Nobel Prize in Medicine in 2016 for his research on how cells recycle and renew their content, a process called autophagy.

Fasting activates autophagy, which helps slow down the aging process and has a positive impact on cell renewal. When deprived of food, cells break down proteins and other cell components and use them for energy. During autophagy, cells destroy viruses and bacteria and get rid of damaged structures. It’s a process that is critical for cell health, renewal, and survival.

When the Corona virus hit the world, all countries had to go into deprivation mode – what they call the lockdown. Depriving the economy of work – its food – so that it could heal on its own.

And, therein lies the trick. While fasting is good (intermittent fasting is the latest fad, if you haven’t heard of it, you have been in space), prolonged fasting can have damaging effects. Also, prolonged fasting has different impacts on different personalities. A healthy individual can last longer without suffering while an unhealthy person (having co-morbidities to quote the latest lingo) is advised not to take long fasts. In case of inadequate protein intake, a body moves from metabolism to catabolism (it starts eating itself to stay afloat).

Taking the analogy forward,  the European economies are healthy. They have high per capita incomes (Japan, England, France - ~ 40000 USD, South Korea – 31000 USD) and lesser GINI coefficients (means the gap between the rich and the poor is not so stark). So, their lockdowns could last long enough to cure the country of its disease, without having a long term damage on the economy.

In contrast, the Indian economy has several ills.  A massive population, low per capita income (About 2100 Dollars), inadequate growth, poor GINI coefficient (it has the Asia’s richest man and possibly the poorest people of the world) and economy concentrated in a few cities. A classic case of a country which could not afford a long lockdown or fasting.

But, our government chose otherwise, without taking it consideration our health and its incapability to last long if fasting.

What we are facing today is a crisis because a solution was adopted that the body was not ready for.


Unfortunately, this will scar the body for a very long time.

The revival task is Himalayan and will ask for the best talents of the country to come together and chalk out a plan.

Hope the Government moves quickly enough, any more starving of the economy can push us into the ventilator.